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Find where
the market
is wrong.

Edge Finder combines sportsbook odds, statistical models, prediction markets, and player-level analysis into convergence scores. Not tips. Not hunches. Quantified edges — sports and stocks — with a paper trail.

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Profit ($100 flat)
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Wagered
5
Signals
MLB Edge Finder · v3.2.0
Baseball.
Seven signals. Backtested.
7-signal weighted blend optimized across 5,000+ configurations on 7 seasons of MLB data (2015–2021). No sp_quality (confirmed harmful). DOG-only staking — backtest proved favorite tiers unprofitable. Model runs daily, odds captured pregame, every pick logged with signal breakdown.
LIVE — 2026 REGULAR SEASON
30%
Sportsbook
Multi-book consensus moneyline → no-vig implied probability
20%
Bullpen Quality
Injury-aware reliever FIP/WHIP blend from MLB Stats API
20%
Platoon (wOBA)
Per-batter career wOBA vs SP handedness — actual lineup
14%
BABIP Regression
Luck-adjusted regression indicator from Statcast data
7%
Recent Form
Last 15-game rolling win rate per team
7%
Home/Away Splits
Season-long home vs road performance
5%
Park Factor
Venue run environment + altitude adjustments
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NCAAB Edge Finder · v3.7
College basketball.
Five signals. One edge.
The model ingests sportsbook consensus, Barttorvik statistical ratings, player impact analysis, and Polymarket pricing. When all signals converge and the market disagrees — that's the edge. Every pick comes with a confidence score, Kelly sizing, and full signal breakdown.
2025–26 SEASON COMPLETE · RETURNS NOV 2026
55% WEIGHT
Sportsbook Odds
Consensus moneylines across US books → implied probability
45% WEIGHT
Barttorvik Model
T-Rank adjusted for tempo, efficiency, schedule strength
ADDITIVE
Star Impact
Generational / Dominant / Star / Key tiers. 200+ teams cached
ADDITIVE
Roster Power
Full-roster depth scoring. 362 teams, 3,448 players via ESPN
MARKET CHECK
Polymarket
Prediction market pricing — the final edge validator
View Season Archive →
Congress Alpha Tracker · v0.3
Stonks.
Follow the insiders.
Two independent signals for stock alpha. SEC Form 4 insider trades (48hr disclosure) surface corporate insiders buying their own stock. Congressional STOCK Act filings reveal what politicians trade on. When 3+ politicians buy the same stock within 14 days — that's a cluster signal.
LIVE — 25,700+ TRADES TRACKED
SIGNAL 1
SEC Form 4
Insider trades with 48hr disclosure. CEOs, directors, and 10%+ holders buying their own stock.
SIGNAL 2
STOCK Act Filings
Congressional trades with 30-45 day lag. Ranked by politician return, cluster detection.
Trade feed coming soon — full explorer in v0.4
25,700+ trades tracked · 435 insider · 25,000+ congress
Coming Soon
Every market has edges.
🏈
NFL
Fall 2026
🏀
NBA
2026-27 Season
🏟️
NCAAF
Fall 2026
◆
More TBD
Wherever edges exist
Track Record
Every pick. Every result.
Full transparency. No deleted picks, no hidden losses. Every edge published with a timestamp and tracked to completion.
DateModelGamePickTierP&LResult
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Access
Free. For now.
Edge Finder is in public beta. Every model, every signal, every pick — completely free while we build and prove the track record. Paid tiers come later.
Public Beta
$0 / free
Full access to every model and signal. No credit card. No catch. We're building in public and tracking every pick.
  • NCAAB Edge Finder — live now
  • MLB Edge Finder — live now
  • Stonks — insider + congress trades
  • Full signal breakdown per pick
  • Kelly Criterion sizing
  • Complete bet log + P&L
  • Polymarket divergence alerts
  • All future models included
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The books set the line
The model finds the edge.
Join the bettors and traders who use data — not hunches — to find where the market is wrong.
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